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How much data is needed for a GBM to be more reliable than logistic regression for binary classification?



Announcing the arrival of Valued Associate #679: Cesar Manara
Planned maintenance scheduled April 23, 2019 at 00:00UTC (8:00pm US/Eastern)
2019 Moderator Election Q&A - Questionnaire
2019 Community Moderator Election ResultsBinary classification model for sparse / biased dataPython : How to use Multinomial Logistic Regression using SKlearnLogistic regression on biased dataLogistic regression with high cardinality categorical variableStrategy for dealing with giant sample sizeHow to add more theta parameters into my logistic regression?Regression equation for ordinal dataMulti-Class Classification With Logistic Regression On Binary DataHow many coefficients does the Logistic regression model has as a function of the number of features?










1












$begingroup$


When comparing a GBM to a logistic regression for a binary classification, there a pros and cons to each. I'm interested in understanding the general tradeoff between the length of the data set (number of rows) vs the reliability of the fit out-of-sample.



Obviously the more data, the more reliable the predictions will be out of sample (all else being equal). The more rows of data, the more likely that GBM will be more predictive on a real data set. So i'm wondering is there a rough rule of thumb when you would say the data is too small to use GBM, better of using a logistic regression. I know that logistic regressions can be more predictive in some cases, but my understanding is that GBM usually outperforms.



I'm particularly interested in the case that the number of predictive variables is far less than the total number of variables available. For example, we have 100 variables, 10 of which might be highly predictive of the target variable.



I know about all the benefits of train/test sets and CV. But that doesn't work all the time either. For example, your colleague has just run the train/test loop too many times, has added too many unreliable variables into the mix to improve the test AUC, and now you have a GBM model that is crazy good. Too good.










share|improve this question









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    1












    $begingroup$


    When comparing a GBM to a logistic regression for a binary classification, there a pros and cons to each. I'm interested in understanding the general tradeoff between the length of the data set (number of rows) vs the reliability of the fit out-of-sample.



    Obviously the more data, the more reliable the predictions will be out of sample (all else being equal). The more rows of data, the more likely that GBM will be more predictive on a real data set. So i'm wondering is there a rough rule of thumb when you would say the data is too small to use GBM, better of using a logistic regression. I know that logistic regressions can be more predictive in some cases, but my understanding is that GBM usually outperforms.



    I'm particularly interested in the case that the number of predictive variables is far less than the total number of variables available. For example, we have 100 variables, 10 of which might be highly predictive of the target variable.



    I know about all the benefits of train/test sets and CV. But that doesn't work all the time either. For example, your colleague has just run the train/test loop too many times, has added too many unreliable variables into the mix to improve the test AUC, and now you have a GBM model that is crazy good. Too good.










    share|improve this question









    $endgroup$




    bumped to the homepage by Community 32 mins ago


    This question has answers that may be good or bad; the system has marked it active so that they can be reviewed.

















      1












      1








      1


      1



      $begingroup$


      When comparing a GBM to a logistic regression for a binary classification, there a pros and cons to each. I'm interested in understanding the general tradeoff between the length of the data set (number of rows) vs the reliability of the fit out-of-sample.



      Obviously the more data, the more reliable the predictions will be out of sample (all else being equal). The more rows of data, the more likely that GBM will be more predictive on a real data set. So i'm wondering is there a rough rule of thumb when you would say the data is too small to use GBM, better of using a logistic regression. I know that logistic regressions can be more predictive in some cases, but my understanding is that GBM usually outperforms.



      I'm particularly interested in the case that the number of predictive variables is far less than the total number of variables available. For example, we have 100 variables, 10 of which might be highly predictive of the target variable.



      I know about all the benefits of train/test sets and CV. But that doesn't work all the time either. For example, your colleague has just run the train/test loop too many times, has added too many unreliable variables into the mix to improve the test AUC, and now you have a GBM model that is crazy good. Too good.










      share|improve this question









      $endgroup$




      When comparing a GBM to a logistic regression for a binary classification, there a pros and cons to each. I'm interested in understanding the general tradeoff between the length of the data set (number of rows) vs the reliability of the fit out-of-sample.



      Obviously the more data, the more reliable the predictions will be out of sample (all else being equal). The more rows of data, the more likely that GBM will be more predictive on a real data set. So i'm wondering is there a rough rule of thumb when you would say the data is too small to use GBM, better of using a logistic regression. I know that logistic regressions can be more predictive in some cases, but my understanding is that GBM usually outperforms.



      I'm particularly interested in the case that the number of predictive variables is far less than the total number of variables available. For example, we have 100 variables, 10 of which might be highly predictive of the target variable.



      I know about all the benefits of train/test sets and CV. But that doesn't work all the time either. For example, your colleague has just run the train/test loop too many times, has added too many unreliable variables into the mix to improve the test AUC, and now you have a GBM model that is crazy good. Too good.







      logistic-regression cross-validation gbm






      share|improve this question













      share|improve this question











      share|improve this question




      share|improve this question










      asked Nov 20 '17 at 18:26









      dule arnauxdule arnaux

      1061




      1061





      bumped to the homepage by Community 32 mins ago


      This question has answers that may be good or bad; the system has marked it active so that they can be reviewed.







      bumped to the homepage by Community 32 mins ago


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          1 Answer
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          0












          $begingroup$

          In my experience GBM does at least as well as LR on small datasets too. The main advantages of GBM over LR occur when you have



          • correlated variables

          • nonlinearity

          • interactions

          If you want to simplify your GBM you can use feature importances to drop unimportant features. You might also want to try PCA to see if you can reduce the number of features. After this you could try a LR model on the resulting features to see the model performance.



          If you're worried that you've overfit your model to the test set, you'll need to find a new test set!






          share|improve this answer









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            0












            $begingroup$

            In my experience GBM does at least as well as LR on small datasets too. The main advantages of GBM over LR occur when you have



            • correlated variables

            • nonlinearity

            • interactions

            If you want to simplify your GBM you can use feature importances to drop unimportant features. You might also want to try PCA to see if you can reduce the number of features. After this you could try a LR model on the resulting features to see the model performance.



            If you're worried that you've overfit your model to the test set, you'll need to find a new test set!






            share|improve this answer









            $endgroup$

















              0












              $begingroup$

              In my experience GBM does at least as well as LR on small datasets too. The main advantages of GBM over LR occur when you have



              • correlated variables

              • nonlinearity

              • interactions

              If you want to simplify your GBM you can use feature importances to drop unimportant features. You might also want to try PCA to see if you can reduce the number of features. After this you could try a LR model on the resulting features to see the model performance.



              If you're worried that you've overfit your model to the test set, you'll need to find a new test set!






              share|improve this answer









              $endgroup$















                0












                0








                0





                $begingroup$

                In my experience GBM does at least as well as LR on small datasets too. The main advantages of GBM over LR occur when you have



                • correlated variables

                • nonlinearity

                • interactions

                If you want to simplify your GBM you can use feature importances to drop unimportant features. You might also want to try PCA to see if you can reduce the number of features. After this you could try a LR model on the resulting features to see the model performance.



                If you're worried that you've overfit your model to the test set, you'll need to find a new test set!






                share|improve this answer









                $endgroup$



                In my experience GBM does at least as well as LR on small datasets too. The main advantages of GBM over LR occur when you have



                • correlated variables

                • nonlinearity

                • interactions

                If you want to simplify your GBM you can use feature importances to drop unimportant features. You might also want to try PCA to see if you can reduce the number of features. After this you could try a LR model on the resulting features to see the model performance.



                If you're worried that you've overfit your model to the test set, you'll need to find a new test set!







                share|improve this answer












                share|improve this answer



                share|improve this answer










                answered Nov 22 '17 at 22:40









                Max FlanderMax Flander

                1716




                1716



























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